Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
Elon Phoenix
64 79
FINAL Conference
Stony Brook Seawolves
Coastal Athletic Association · Schar Center · February 9, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread STBK -3.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money ELON +150 / STBK -150
Model Predictions
Spread Total ELON win
Actual STBK +15 143 Lost
Massey STBK -2.8 (-12.2)
Massey Totals 150.7 (-7.7)
Bradley-Terry 33%
Weighted B-T 21%
Efficiency Plus ML STBK -3.0 (-12.0) 144.9 (-1.9) 40%
Baseline Tuned ML STBK -2.9 (-12.1) 144.9 (-1.9) 37%
Baseline ML STBK -3.0 (-12.0) 145.6 (-2.6) 35%
Baseline Plus ML STBK -3.3 (-11.7) 146.3 (-3.3) 35%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 STBK 7268 ELON
Mar 1, 2025 STBK 7166 ELON
Feb 3, 2023 ELON 6955 STBK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ELON STBK
Overall 13-19 20-15
Conference 6-12 10-8
Home 8-6 13-3
Away 3-11 4-11
Neutral 2-2 3-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 70.3 73.0
Avg Pts Against 76.2 73.0
Massey -8.7 (#307) -2.6 (#210)
Bradley-Terry -1.38 (#298) -0.07 (#180)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.79 (#304) 0.22 (#157)
RPI 0.439 (#288) 0.496 (#178)
Shooting & Four Factors ELON STBK
FG% 43.6% 42.7%
3PT% 36.6% 33.7%
REB / G 33.2 35.6
OREB / G 10.1 9.8
AST / TO 1.08 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.3% 49.0%
TOV% 17.7% 15.9%
ORB% 29.3% 27.0%
FT Rate 23.9% 20.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.1% 51.0%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 16.6%
DRB% 67.0% 70.6%
Opp FT Rate 23.1% 17.9%

Game Analysis

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