Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | STBK +210 ELON -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +5 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -7.7 (+12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -6.6 (+11.6) | 137.0 (-0.0) | 32% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -6.4 (+11.4) | 137.3 (-0.3) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -6.2 (+11.2) | 136.9 (+0.1) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -6.7 (+11.7) | 138.6 (-1.6) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | STBK 72 – 68 ELON |
| Feb 9, 2024 | STBK 79 – 64 ELON |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ELON 69 – 55 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -11.6 (#336) | -0.7 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#326) | -0.27 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#326) | -0.11 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#306) | 0.500 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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