Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | USC -350 WSU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +10 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | USC -4.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -4.2 (+5.8) | 134.0 (+16.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -4.2 (+5.8) | 133.3 (+16.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -5.0 (+5.0) | 136.2 (+13.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -4.6 (+5.4) | 136.3 (+13.7) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2025 | USC 68 – 61 WSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WSU 75 – 72 USC |
| Jan 11, 2024 | WSU 72 – 64 USC |
| Jan 1, 2023 | WSU 81 – 71 USC |
| Feb 21, 2022 | USC 62 – 60 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#51) | 9.0 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#42) | 0.57 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#46) | 1.09 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#40) | 0.528 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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