Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | WSU -350 USC +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -9.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -10.9 (-7.9) | 143.9 (+3.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -9.5 (-6.5) | 143.3 (+3.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -10.0 (-7.0) | 142.4 (+4.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -9.8 (-6.8) | 143.1 (+3.9) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2025 | USC 68 – 61 WSU |
| Jan 11, 2024 | WSU 72 – 64 USC |
| Feb 3, 2023 | USC 80 – 70 WSU |
| Jan 1, 2023 | WSU 81 – 71 USC |
| Feb 21, 2022 | USC 62 – 60 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#41) | 5.6 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#28) | 0.42 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#37) | 0.68 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#41) | 0.514 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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