Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
| Money | USC -305 WSU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +8 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | USC -3.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -2.5 (-10.5) | 145.4 (-9.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -3.3 (-11.3) | 144.9 (-8.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -3.4 (-11.4) | 145.8 (-9.8) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USC -3.2 (-11.2) | 146.1 (-10.1) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2025 | USC 68 – 61 WSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WSU 75 – 72 USC |
| Feb 3, 2023 | USC 80 – 70 WSU |
| Jan 1, 2023 | WSU 81 – 71 USC |
| Feb 21, 2022 | USC 62 – 60 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#79) | 7.9 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#108) | 1.12 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#102) | 1.44 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#96) | 0.550 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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