Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | WSU -125 USC +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -5.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -2.0 (+8.0) | 135.1 (+16.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -3.9 (+6.1) | 133.4 (+18.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -1.0 (+9.0) | 136.3 (+15.7) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -2.0 (+8.0) | 137.0 (+15.0) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2025 | USC 68 – 61 WSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WSU 75 – 72 USC |
| Jan 11, 2024 | WSU 72 – 64 USC |
| Feb 3, 2023 | USC 80 – 70 WSU |
| Feb 21, 2022 | USC 62 – 60 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#71) | 6.6 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#194) | 2.10 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#151) | 2.54 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#172) | 0.589 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 43.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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