Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | USC -325 WSU +265 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +2 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | USC -3.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -4.7 (-2.7) | 134.6 (-12.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -5.2 (-3.2) | 132.3 (-10.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -5.2 (-3.2) | 135.0 (-13.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -4.9 (-2.9) | 134.2 (-12.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2025 | USC 68 – 61 WSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WSU 75 – 72 USC |
| Jan 11, 2024 | WSU 72 – 64 USC |
| Feb 3, 2023 | USC 80 – 70 WSU |
| Jan 1, 2023 | WSU 81 – 71 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-7 |
| Away | 9-3 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#27) | 10.9 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#20) | 1.09 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.09 (#21) | 1.65 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#23) | 0.563 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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