Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | USC -1100 WSU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +7 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | USC -18.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.3 (-42.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -15.4 (-8.4) | 156.1 (-27.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -14.3 (-7.3) | 154.3 (-25.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -16.5 (-9.5) | 157.8 (-28.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -16.0 (-9.0) | 160.1 (-31.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2024 | WSU 75 – 72 USC |
| Jan 11, 2024 | WSU 72 – 64 USC |
| Feb 3, 2023 | USC 80 – 70 WSU |
| Jan 1, 2023 | WSU 81 – 71 USC |
| Feb 21, 2022 | USC 62 – 60 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L8 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#39) | -1.5 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.52 (#12) | -0.89 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.52 (#15) | -0.59 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.666 (#10) | 0.471 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 38.7% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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