Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | UALB +900 UVM -1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +19 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -8.6 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -9.2 (-9.8) | 135.6 (+19.4) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -10.8 (-8.2) | 135.9 (+19.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -8.5 (-10.5) | 136.3 (+18.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -7.7 (-11.3) | 136.9 (+18.1) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | UVM 69 – 56 UALB |
| Jan 19, 2026 | UALB 75 – 68 UVM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | UVM 79 – 71 UALB |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UVM 68 – 62 UALB |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UVM 75 – 72 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 14-2 |
| Home | 5-6 | 13-1 |
| Away | 2-16 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#337) | 1.3 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#344) | 0.27 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#342) | 0.09 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#328) | 0.545 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 19.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.