Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | CLEM -115 MIA -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIA +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -0.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -1.2 (-5.2) | 148.9 (+3.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -0.8 (-4.8) | 146.3 (+5.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -1.2 (-5.2) | 147.3 (+4.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -1.0 (-5.0) | 150.2 (+1.8) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | CLEM 69 – 59 MIA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | CLEM 65 – 55 MIA |
| Feb 15, 2024 | CLEM 77 – 60 MIA |
| Jan 4, 2024 | MIA 95 – 82 CLEM |
| Dec 4, 2021 | MIA 80 – 75 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 29-8 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 15-2 | 16-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#76) | 10.1 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#45) | 2.29 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#53) | 2.75 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#65) | 0.606 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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