Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.0 Over |
| Money | MIA +110 CLEM -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIA +13 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -0.4 (+13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (+22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIA -1.6 (+11.4) | 151.9 (+25.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIA -2.1 (+10.9) | 148.8 (+28.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIA -1.6 (+11.4) | 151.3 (+25.7) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MIA -1.4 (+11.6) | 151.2 (+25.8) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | CLEM 69 – 59 MIA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | CLEM 65 – 55 MIA |
| Feb 15, 2024 | CLEM 77 – 60 MIA |
| Feb 4, 2023 | MIA 78 – 74 CLEM |
| Dec 4, 2021 | MIA 80 – 75 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L10 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#50) | 15.2 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#37) | 4.03 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#51) | 5.40 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#35) | 0.696 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 41.2% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.4% | 57.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.5% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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