Betting Lines
| Spread | MIA -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIA +5 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | MIA -0.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIA -1.0 (+4.0) | 143.3 (+11.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -0.5 (+5.5) | 139.4 (+15.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIA -0.3 (+4.7) | 142.8 (+12.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIA -0.6 (+4.4) | 143.5 (+11.5) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | CLEM 69 – 59 MIA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | CLEM 65 – 55 MIA |
| Feb 15, 2024 | CLEM 77 – 60 MIA |
| Jan 4, 2024 | MIA 95 – 82 CLEM |
| Feb 4, 2023 | MIA 78 – 74 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 10-2 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#178) | 5.1 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#144) | 0.36 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#178) | 0.42 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#133) | 0.542 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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