Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -300 MIA +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +17 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -6.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -7.4 (+9.6) | 147.4 (-10.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -6.9 (+10.1) | 147.6 (-10.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -6.9 (+10.1) | 146.3 (-9.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -6.6 (+10.4) | 145.6 (-8.6) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | CLEM 69 – 59 MIA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | CLEM 65 – 55 MIA |
| Jan 4, 2024 | MIA 95 – 82 CLEM |
| Feb 4, 2023 | MIA 78 – 74 CLEM |
| Dec 4, 2021 | MIA 80 – 75 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-14 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L10 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#32) | 9.5 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#17) | 1.41 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.16 (#13) | 1.78 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#18) | 0.546 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 14.9% |
Game Analysis
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