Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -230 MIA +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +10 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -2.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -6.5 (+3.5) | 137.9 (-9.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -3.7 (+6.3) | 139.8 (-11.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -3.6 (+6.4) | 142.6 (-14.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -4.5 (+5.5) | 141.6 (-13.6) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | CLEM 65 – 55 MIA |
| Feb 15, 2024 | CLEM 77 – 60 MIA |
| Jan 4, 2024 | MIA 95 – 82 CLEM |
| Feb 4, 2023 | MIA 78 – 74 CLEM |
| Dec 4, 2021 | MIA 80 – 75 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 15.1 (#33) | 16.0 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#22) | 3.06 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.96 (#24) | 4.10 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.623 (#26) | 0.584 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 51.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 57.4% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 38.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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