Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | LR +200 SIUE -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +3 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -4.8 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (+14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -5.1 (+2.1) | 150.5 (+14.5) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -4.2 (+1.2) | 147.7 (+17.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -4.3 (+1.3) | 147.3 (+17.7) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -4.1 (+1.1) | 148.2 (+16.8) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SIUE 71 – 61 LR |
| Jan 9, 2026 | LR 73 – 70 SIUE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SIUE 73 – 65 LR |
| Dec 20, 2024 | LR 60 – 56 SIUE |
| Feb 2, 2024 | SIUE 68 – 66 LR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-16 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.9 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#331) | -1.4 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#343) | -0.18 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.69 (#344) | -0.54 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.380 (#351) | 0.508 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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