Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | IU -125 PUR +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +5 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | IU -0.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -1.0 (+4.0) | 137.5 (+15.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -0.4 (+4.6) | 137.8 (+15.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -0.7 (+4.3) | 136.8 (+16.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IU -1.2 (+3.8) | 136.8 (+16.2) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | PUR 93 – 64 IU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | IU 72 – 67 PUR |
| Feb 23, 2025 | IU 73 – 58 PUR |
| Feb 1, 2025 | PUR 81 – 76 IU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | PUR 79 – 59 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 62.7 |
| Massey | 13.7 (#18) | 16.9 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#31) | 4.23 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#24) | 5.99 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#45) | 0.649 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 38.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 11.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.