Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -163 VCU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +8 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -2.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -1.6 (-9.6) | 141.5 (-3.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -2.6 (-10.6) | 140.4 (-2.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -2.6 (-10.6) | 140.8 (-2.8) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -2.0 (-10.0) | 141.8 (-3.8) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SLU 88 – 75 VCU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | SLU 71 – 62 VCU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | SLU 78 – 69 VCU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VCU 78 – 62 SLU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | VCU 95 – 85 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 15-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 62.9 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#95) | 6.3 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#68) | 1.31 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#74) | 1.33 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#37) | 0.581 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 24.9% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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