Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -800 STBK +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +21 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -17.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -13.1 (+7.9) | 137.1 (-0.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -14.8 (+6.2) | 138.1 (-1.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -13.5 (+7.5) | 137.9 (-0.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -13.7 (+7.3) | 138.0 (-1.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | HOF 67 – 58 STBK |
| Jan 16, 2026 | STBK 76 – 71 HOF |
| Feb 28, 2025 | STBK 59 – 56 HOF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | STBK 80 – 75 HOF |
| Mar 12, 2024 | STBK 63 – 59 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 11-5 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#106) | -10.0 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#76) | -1.42 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#81) | -1.95 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#46) | 0.428 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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