Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | OAK +100 CLE +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +3 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -2.3 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+37.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -2.2 (+5.2) | 146.6 (+34.4) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -2.0 (+5.0) | 145.3 (+35.7) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -1.8 (+4.8) | 144.8 (+36.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -2.2 (+5.2) | 146.6 (+34.4) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | CLE 91 – 78 OAK |
| Jan 10, 2026 | OAK 97 – 74 CLE |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OAK 91 – 86 CLE |
| Dec 20, 2024 | CLE 92 – 75 OAK |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OAK 74 – 71 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#271) | -0.1 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#260) | -0.00 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#266) | 0.02 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#255) | 0.500 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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