Betting Lines
| Spread | STO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | SFBK +120 STO -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STO +6 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | STO -0.6 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STO -0.7 (-5.3) | 132.0 (-8.0) | 44% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | STO -1.0 (-5.0) | 132.2 (-8.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | STO -1.1 (-4.9) | 132.0 (-8.0) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STO -0.5 (-5.5) | 133.6 (-9.6) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2023 | STO 62 – 51 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 10-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -13.2 (#351) | -9.1 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#328) | -1.27 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.46 (#336) | -1.84 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#301) | 0.460 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 17.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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