Betting Lines
| Spread | STO -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | STO -225 SFBK +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STO +11 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | STO -7.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STO -3.7 (+7.3) | 129.4 (-16.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | STO -5.3 (+5.7) | 128.8 (-15.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | STO -3.7 (+7.3) | 129.7 (-16.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STO -4.4 (+6.6) | 129.8 (-16.8) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2023 | STO 65 – 59 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STO | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#325) | -13.3 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#295) | -1.82 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#313) | -2.53 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#242) | 0.431 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STO | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 5.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 17.9% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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