See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
Big South Conference · Paul Porter Arena · February 4, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread GWEB -11.5 Away covered
O/U 124.5 Under
Money GWEB -700 / PRES +550
Model Predictions
Spread Total GWEB win
Actual GWEB +8 104 Won
Massey GWEB -14.0 (-6.0) — —
Massey Totals — 124.7 (-20.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Baseline Plus ML GWEB -10.1 (-2.1) 129.5 (-25.5) 83% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GWEB -9.5 (-1.5) 127.3 (-23.3) 83% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GWEB -10.4 (-2.4) 130.3 (-26.3) 86% ✓
Baseline ML GWEB -11.0 (-3.0) 130.9 (-26.9) 83% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 PRES 68 – 62 GWEB
Jan 17, 2026 PRES 92 – 55 GWEB
Mar 1, 2025 PRES 68 – 57 GWEB
Jan 4, 2025 GWEB 63 – 61 PRES
Mar 9, 2024 GWEB 61 – 60 PRES

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GWEB PRES
Overall 15-16 5-27
Conference 10-8 1-17
Home 8-5 5-9
Away 6-10 0-15
Neutral 1-1 0-3
Last 5 4-1 0-5
Streak L5 L18
Avg Pts For 67.4 61.8
Avg Pts Against 66.7 70.4
Massey 0.2 (#165) -10.3 (#334)
Bradley-Terry -0.56 (#231) -2.98 (#357)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.65 (#227) -3.10 (#353)
RPI 0.478 (#221) 0.347 (#362)
Shooting & Four Factors GWEB PRES
FG% 45.2% 41.8%
3PT% 32.9% 30.7%
REB / G 33.0 32.2
OREB / G 9.2 10.9
AST / TO 0.92 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.9% 47.4%
TOV% 19.2% 20.4%
ORB% 27.6% 32.0%
FT Rate 20.2% 23.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.1% 54.8%
Opp TOV% 20.9% 18.9%
DRB% 74.6% 69.4%
Opp FT Rate 28.9% 24.5%

Game Analysis

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