Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | HAMP +350 NORF -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +12 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -10.9 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -9.1 (-2.9) | 144.5 (+9.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -9.1 (-2.9) | 141.8 (+12.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -9.1 (-2.9) | 145.5 (+8.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -8.8 (-3.2) | 145.7 (+8.3) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | NORF 62 – 60 HAMP |
| Nov 17, 2024 | NORF 67 – 58 HAMP |
| Nov 14, 2023 | NORF 75 – 68 HAMP |
| Dec 17, 2022 | NORF 78 – 66 HAMP |
| Dec 4, 2021 | HAMP 58 – 57 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-5 |
| Home | 7-6 | 10-2 |
| Away | 1-13 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -12.6 (#347) | -1.6 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#330) | 0.34 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#333) | 0.34 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#333) | 0.516 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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