Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | NORF -700 HAMP +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +12 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -9.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -7.0 (+5.0) | 144.5 (-0.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -7.4 (+4.6) | 143.0 (+1.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -6.9 (+5.1) | 145.2 (-1.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -7.3 (+4.7) | 146.6 (-2.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | NORF 62 – 60 HAMP |
| Nov 17, 2024 | NORF 67 – 58 HAMP |
| Nov 14, 2023 | NORF 75 – 68 HAMP |
| Feb 4, 2023 | NORF 83 – 71 HAMP |
| Dec 4, 2021 | HAMP 58 – 57 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-2 | 7-6 |
| Away | 6-8 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#224) | -12.1 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#112) | -1.76 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#113) | -2.57 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#101) | 0.405 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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