Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +1 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -2.8 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-24.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -2.2 (+3.2) | 142.1 (-27.1) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -6.2 (+7.2) | 138.3 (-23.3) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -2.9 (+3.9) | 139.4 (-24.4) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -5.0 (+6.0) | 136.4 (-21.4) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | NORF 62 – 60 HAMP |
| Nov 17, 2024 | NORF 67 – 58 HAMP |
| Nov 14, 2023 | NORF 75 – 68 HAMP |
| Feb 4, 2023 | NORF 83 – 71 HAMP |
| Dec 17, 2022 | NORF 78 – 66 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-4 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#339) | -2.5 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.10 (#339) | 2.33 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.75 (#344) | 3.04 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.318 (#350) | 0.495 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.1% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.9% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 20.5% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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