Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP +160 NORF -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +9 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | HAMP -2.3 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -0.8 (-9.8) | 133.7 (-8.7) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -0.5 (-8.5) | 134.4 (-9.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -0.9 (-9.9) | 134.1 (-9.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -2.0 (-11.0) | 133.5 (-8.5) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | NORF 62 – 60 HAMP |
| Nov 14, 2023 | NORF 75 – 68 HAMP |
| Feb 4, 2023 | NORF 83 – 71 HAMP |
| Dec 17, 2022 | NORF 78 – 66 HAMP |
| Dec 4, 2021 | HAMP 58 – 57 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-3 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#266) | 0.2 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#228) | -0.26 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#219) | -0.12 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#116) | 0.479 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 28.7% | 51.4% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.37 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 33.2% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 19.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 38.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 57.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 14.0% |
Game Analysis
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