Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | NORF -135 HAMP +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +2 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -8.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -4.4 (-2.4) | 128.4 (-6.4) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -4.5 (-2.5) | 125.9 (-3.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -5.2 (-3.2) | 127.6 (-5.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -5.7 (-3.7) | 127.7 (-5.7) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | NORF 67 – 58 HAMP |
| Nov 14, 2023 | NORF 75 – 68 HAMP |
| Feb 4, 2023 | NORF 83 – 71 HAMP |
| Dec 17, 2022 | NORF 78 – 66 HAMP |
| Dec 4, 2021 | HAMP 58 – 57 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 5-10 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#219) | -4.9 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#326) | -1.56 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.82 (#309) | -2.53 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.243 (#363) | 0.385 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.8% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 24.5% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.3 | 15.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.5% | 41.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 37.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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