Betting Lines
| Spread | LAF -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | LAF -110 LEH +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | LAF -4.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAF -1.2 (-3.2) | 130.9 (-0.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAF -1.1 (-3.1) | 129.2 (+0.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -0.7 (-2.7) | 129.3 (+0.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -1.2 (-3.2) | 129.9 (+0.1) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LEH 78 – 69 LAF |
| Jan 25, 2026 | LEH 64 – 59 LAF |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAF 78 – 70 LEH |
| Jan 26, 2025 | LEH 86 – 47 LAF |
| Mar 8, 2024 | LEH 76 – 61 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-23 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 5-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-16 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#242) | -5.0 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#301) | -0.37 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#293) | -0.52 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#270) | 0.494 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 20.4% |
| FT Rate | 13.7% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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