Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | LIP +350 LIB -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +5 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -7.1 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -6.4 (+11.4) | 134.3 (-1.3) | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -7.1 (+12.1) | 134.9 (-1.9) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -5.3 (+10.3) | 135.0 (-2.0) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -6.1 (+11.1) | 135.0 (-2.0) | 30% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2023 | LIB 77 – 48 LIP |
| Mar 4, 2022 | LIB 52 – 47 LIP |
| Feb 9, 2022 | LIB 78 – 69 LIP |
| Jan 2, 2021 | LIB 66 – 50 LIP |
| Jan 1, 2021 | LIP 77 – 70 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-2 | 19-1 |
| Away | 7-11 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 62.3 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#190) | 9.6 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#195) | 1.53 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#194) | 1.80 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#187) | 0.579 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 79.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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