Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -600 LIP +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +29 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -13.6 (+15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -13.5 (+15.5) | 142.5 (-17.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -12.1 (+16.9) | 139.5 (-14.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -13.0 (+16.0) | 143.6 (-18.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -12.5 (+16.5) | 144.3 (-19.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2023 | LIP 69 – 64 LIB |
| Mar 4, 2022 | LIB 52 – 47 LIP |
| Feb 9, 2022 | LIB 78 – 69 LIP |
| Jan 2, 2021 | LIB 66 – 50 LIP |
| Jan 1, 2021 | LIP 77 – 70 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 19-1 | 13-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#77) | -2.5 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#73) | -0.73 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#80) | -0.94 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#72) | 0.442 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 77.7% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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