Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +5 | 99 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -12.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-50.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -11.6 (-6.6) | 150.2 (-51.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -13.1 (-8.1) | 147.4 (-48.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -11.6 (-6.6) | 152.5 (-53.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -11.9 (-6.9) | 154.1 (-55.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2023 | LIP 69 – 64 LIB |
| Jan 3, 2023 | LIB 77 – 48 LIP |
| Feb 9, 2022 | LIB 78 – 69 LIP |
| Jan 2, 2021 | LIB 66 – 50 LIP |
| Jan 1, 2021 | LIP 77 – 70 LIB |
Game Analysis
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