Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | LIP +195 LIB -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +16 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -7.7 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (-25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -6.8 (-9.2) | 142.2 (-26.2) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -7.1 (-8.9) | 138.5 (-22.5) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -7.1 (-8.9) | 142.9 (-26.9) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -8.0 (-8.0) | 143.9 (-27.9) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2023 | LIP 69 – 64 LIB |
| Jan 3, 2023 | LIB 77 – 48 LIP |
| Mar 4, 2022 | LIB 52 – 47 LIP |
| Feb 9, 2022 | LIB 78 – 69 LIP |
| Jan 1, 2021 | LIP 77 – 70 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 23-6 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 11-2 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-0 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 62.5 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#243) | 6.5 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#225) | 0.64 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#224) | 1.21 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#209) | 0.503 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 5.4 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 58.5% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 16.5% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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