Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -11.6 (+18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -11.7 (+18.7) | 139.1 (+7.9) | 18% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -9.7 (+16.7) | 135.5 (+11.5) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -11.9 (+18.9) | 139.9 (+7.1) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -11.3 (+18.3) | 141.9 (+5.1) | 23% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2023 | LIP 69 – 64 LIB |
| Jan 3, 2023 | LIB 77 – 48 LIP |
| Mar 4, 2022 | LIB 52 – 47 LIP |
| Feb 9, 2022 | LIB 78 – 69 LIP |
| Jan 2, 2021 | LIB 66 – 50 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 23-6 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 11-2 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-0 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 62.5 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#265) | 8.4 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#275) | 1.41 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.87 (#291) | 2.38 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#247) | 0.530 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 29.1 | 28.9 |
| OREB / G | 5.6 | 6.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 60.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 17.3% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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