Betting Lines
| Spread | ARK -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | SC +550 ARK -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARK +2 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | ARK -16.8 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARK -13.0 (+11.0) | 136.4 (-8.4) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARK -12.9 (+10.9) | 135.1 (-7.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARK -13.7 (+11.7) | 136.6 (-8.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARK -13.1 (+11.1) | 136.4 (-8.4) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | ARK 108 – 74 SC |
| Mar 12, 2025 | ARK 72 – 68 SC |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SC 72 – 53 ARK |
| Mar 14, 2024 | SC 80 – 66 ARK |
| Jan 20, 2024 | SC 77 – 64 ARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-8 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#291) | 13.4 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#221) | 1.93 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#244) | 2.41 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#257) | 0.611 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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