Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | OMA +110 WIU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | OMA -1.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -0.4 (-2.6) | 144.7 (+2.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -0.9 (-2.1) | 144.6 (+2.4) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -0.2 (-3.2) | 145.5 (+1.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -0.0 (-3.0) | 145.0 (+2.0) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2023 | OMA 78 – 74 WIU |
| Feb 25, 2022 | WIU 88 – 76 OMA |
| Dec 23, 2021 | OMA 84 – 78 WIU |
| Feb 7, 2021 | WIU 75 – 73 OMA |
| Feb 6, 2021 | WIU 85 – 77 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-7 | 11-4 |
| Away | 1-15 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#304) | -5.4 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#273) | -0.15 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#279) | -0.45 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#264) | 0.489 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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