Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | OMA -125 WIU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +2 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | OMA -0.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -1.1 (-0.9) | 156.4 (-8.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -0.9 (-1.1) | 152.7 (-4.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -0.0 (-2.0) | 154.8 (-6.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -0.4 (-1.6) | 155.0 (-7.0) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2023 | WIU 75 – 72 OMA |
| Jan 6, 2023 | OMA 78 – 74 WIU |
| Feb 25, 2022 | WIU 88 – 76 OMA |
| Dec 23, 2021 | OMA 84 – 78 WIU |
| Feb 6, 2021 | WIU 85 – 77 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-20 | 7-15 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 5-9 |
| Home | 1-5 | 2-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 80.5 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#314) | -9.0 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.53 (#331) | -2.28 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.86 (#334) | -2.70 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#296) | 0.380 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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