Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +12 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -14.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -11.6 (+0.4) | 159.1 (+4.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -12.7 (-0.7) | 156.0 (+8.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -12.0 (-0.0) | 158.8 (+5.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -11.3 (+0.7) | 159.6 (+4.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2023 | WIU 75 – 72 OMA |
| Jan 6, 2023 | OMA 78 – 74 WIU |
| Dec 23, 2021 | OMA 84 – 78 WIU |
| Feb 7, 2021 | WIU 75 – 73 OMA |
| Feb 6, 2021 | WIU 85 – 77 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 7-9 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 84.4 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#229) | -15.0 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#224) | -2.52 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#228) | -3.35 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#247) | 0.405 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 77.7% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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