Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +6 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -14.9 (+20.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -12.3 (+18.3) | 154.3 (+7.7) | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -10.9 (+16.9) | 152.6 (+9.4) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -12.4 (+18.4) | 152.1 (+9.9) | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -10.8 (+16.8) | 153.8 (+8.2) | 21% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2023 | WIU 75 – 72 OMA |
| Jan 6, 2023 | OMA 78 – 74 WIU |
| Feb 25, 2022 | WIU 88 – 76 OMA |
| Feb 7, 2021 | WIU 75 – 73 OMA |
| Feb 6, 2021 | WIU 85 – 77 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-9 | 9-6 |
| Away | 0-15 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.4 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -15.6 (#352) | 3.8 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.81 (#351) | 1.10 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.13 (#349) | 0.98 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.381 (#337) | 0.517 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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