Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | MRMK -175 SFPA +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +4 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -2.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -1.8 (+2.2) | 134.1 (+1.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -1.0 (+3.0) | 132.9 (+3.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -1.6 (+2.4) | 134.7 (+1.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -0.7 (+3.3) | 134.8 (+1.2) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | MRMK 71 – 60 SFPA |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MRMK 74 – 55 SFPA |
| Feb 11, 2023 | MRMK 75 – 68 SFPA |
| Feb 5, 2022 | MRMK 65 – 64 SFPA |
| Jan 15, 2022 | SFPA 62 – 46 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 9-7 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W11 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.9 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.0 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#340) | -10.0 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#337) | -1.98 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#331) | -2.55 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#310) | 0.413 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 25.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 19.4% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.3% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 61.8% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.