Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | OHIO -500 M-OH +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -12.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -10.5 (-0.5) | 152.8 (-6.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -11.4 (-1.4) | 149.3 (-3.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -10.0 (+0.0) | 152.8 (-6.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -10.6 (-0.6) | 155.7 (-9.7) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | M-OH 110 – 108 OHIO |
| Feb 14, 2026 | M-OH 90 – 74 OHIO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OHIO 75 – 66 M-OH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | M-OH 73 – 69 OHIO |
| Mar 9, 2024 | OHIO 72 – 59 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-1 | 9-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#156) | -8.3 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#189) | -2.13 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#185) | -2.45 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#200) | 0.402 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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