Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | MEM -300 TULN +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +1 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -7.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.1 (+13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -7.0 (-8.0) | 161.2 (+17.8) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -8.2 (-9.2) | 160.6 (+18.4) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -7.4 (-8.4) | 159.8 (+19.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -7.1 (-8.1) | 160.3 (+18.7) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | TULN 81 – 69 MEM |
| Mar 8, 2026 | MEM 96 – 95 TULN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TULN 78 – 76 MEM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MEM 78 – 77 TULN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MEM 68 – 56 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#44) | 5.9 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#33) | 0.83 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#30) | 1.20 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#25) | 0.542 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 19.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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