But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Conference USA · Bartow Arena · February 4, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread UAB -15.5 Away covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Money UAB -1600 / FIU +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total UAB win
Actual UAB +4 148 Won
Massey UAB -15.3 (-11.3) — —
Massey Totals — 157.6 (-9.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 84% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 93% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UAB -11.5 (-7.5) 150.6 (-2.6) 86% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UAB -14.7 (-10.7) 151.1 (-3.1) 88% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UAB -12.1 (-8.1) 150.7 (-2.7) 86% ✓
Baseline ML UAB -11.9 (-7.9) 151.3 (-3.3) 84% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 8, 2023 FIU 90 – 87 UAB
Jan 14, 2022 UAB 84 – 56 FIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UAB FIU
Overall 29-10 14-18
Conference 14-6 8-12
Home 17-2 11-7
Away 7-5 3-10
Neutral 5-3 0-1
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 80.0 72.5
Avg Pts Against 70.7 75.5
Massey 8.6 (#63) -3.1 (#232)
Bradley-Terry 1.15 (#79) 0.12 (#161)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.63 (#70) -0.25 (#191)
RPI 0.545 (#94) 0.494 (#185)
Shooting & Four Factors UAB FIU
FG% 44.3% 46.3%
3PT% 35.2% 32.2%
REB / G 41.6 31.4
OREB / G 14.3 8.4
AST / TO 1.13 0.79
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.7% 52.4%
TOV% 17.7% 21.2%
ORB% 37.2% 25.5%
FT Rate 29.7% 18.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.8% 51.6%
Opp TOV% 20.0% 22.4%
DRB% 71.0% 65.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.0% 21.3%

Game Analysis

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