Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | FIU +550 UAB -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +3 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -11.6 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.0 (+14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -10.2 (+13.2) | 158.2 (+18.8) | 17% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -10.6 (+13.6) | 156.1 (+20.9) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -9.9 (+12.9) | 158.1 (+18.9) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -9.0 (+12.0) | 160.5 (+16.5) | 24% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2023 | UAB 76 – 72 FIU |
| Jan 14, 2022 | UAB 84 – 56 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 29-10 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-7 | 17-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#273) | 10.0 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#246) | 1.49 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#275) | 1.94 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#238) | 0.579 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 41.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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