This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Bartow Arena · January 14, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread UAB -16.5 Home covered
O/U 144.0 Under
Money UAB -2400 / FIU +1100
Model Predictions
Spread Total UAB win
Actual UAB +28 140 Won
Massey UAB -17.3 (+10.7) — —
Massey Totals — 144.3 (-4.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 94% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UAB -16.4 (+11.6) 148.4 (-8.4) 89% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UAB -18.1 (+9.9) 149.3 (-9.3) 89% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UAB -17.9 (+10.1) 148.7 (-8.7) 89% ✓
Baseline ML UAB -16.6 (+11.4) 148.6 (-8.6) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 4, 2023 UAB 76 – 72 FIU
Jan 8, 2023 FIU 90 – 87 UAB

Game Analysis

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