Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | FUR -600 WOF +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +13 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -11.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -12.3 (+0.7) | 152.4 (-5.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -11.2 (+1.8) | 150.0 (-3.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -12.9 (+0.1) | 152.0 (-5.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -11.5 (+1.5) | 153.3 (-6.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | FUR 76 – 67 WOF |
| Jan 17, 2026 | WOF 74 – 70 FUR |
| Mar 10, 2025 | WOF 92 – 85 FUR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FUR 78 – 75 WOF |
| Jan 14, 2025 | WOF 81 – 62 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#92) | -3.0 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#108) | -0.58 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#108) | -0.89 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#113) | 0.465 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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