Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | FUR -225 WOF +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +4 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -8.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -7.3 (-11.3) | 146.9 (-2.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -7.0 (-11.0) | 145.7 (-1.7) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -6.5 (-10.5) | 145.4 (-1.4) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -6.7 (-10.7) | 145.7 (-1.7) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | FUR 76 – 67 WOF |
| Mar 10, 2025 | WOF 92 – 85 FUR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FUR 78 – 75 WOF |
| Jan 14, 2025 | WOF 81 – 62 FUR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FUR 82 – 67 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 78.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#167) | -5.0 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#136) | -0.45 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#156) | -0.92 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#104) | 0.470 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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