Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Furman Paladins
62 81
FINAL Conference
Wofford Terriers
Southern Conference · Bon Secours Wellness Arena · January 14, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread FUR -7.5 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money FUR -320 / WOF +260
Model Predictions
Spread Total FUR win
Actual WOF +19 143 Lost
Massey FUR -7.6 (-26.6)
Massey Totals 138.3 (+4.7)
Bradley-Terry 95%
Weighted B-T 93%
Efficiency Plus ML FUR -5.8 (-24.8) 139.9 (+3.1) 68%
Baseline Tuned ML FUR -6.1 (-25.1) 140.2 (+2.8) 77%
Baseline ML FUR -6.8 (-25.8) 141.5 (+1.5) 77%
Baseline Plus ML FUR -6.5 (-25.5) 139.9 (+3.1) 77%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 FUR 7667 WOF
Jan 17, 2026 WOF 7470 FUR
Mar 10, 2025 WOF 9285 FUR
Mar 1, 2025 FUR 7875 WOF
Feb 24, 2024 FUR 8267 WOF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FUR WOF
Overall 25-10 19-16
Conference 11-7 10-8
Home 13-3 7-6
Away 9-6 8-8
Neutral 3-1 4-2
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 74.2 73.1
Avg Pts Against 71.1 70.8
Massey 3.6 (#107) -0.2 (#164)
Bradley-Terry 2.16 (#47) -0.02 (#172)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.95 (#64) 0.18 (#158)
RPI 0.582 (#49) 0.519 (#141)
Shooting & Four Factors FUR WOF
FG% 43.8% 44.5%
3PT% 33.2% 33.2%
REB / G 34.5 36.0
OREB / G 9.6 12.2
AST / TO 1.29 1.31
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.3% 52.1%
TOV% 17.9% 18.0%
ORB% 28.9% 34.9%
FT Rate 22.7% 15.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.8% 53.4%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 14.7%
DRB% 69.7% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 20.7% 26.9%

Game Analysis

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