I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
Furman Paladins
62 – 81
FINAL Conference
Wofford Terriers
Southern Conference · Bon Secours Wellness Arena · January 14, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread FUR -7.5 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money FUR -320 / WOF +260
Model Predictions
Spread Total FUR win
Actual WOF +19 143 Lost
Massey FUR -7.6 (-26.6) — —
Massey Totals — 138.3 (+4.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 93% ✗
Baseline Plus ML FUR -6.5 (-25.5) 139.9 (+3.1) 77% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FUR -5.8 (-24.8) 139.9 (+3.1) 68% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML FUR -6.1 (-25.1) 140.2 (+2.8) 77% ✗
Baseline ML FUR -6.8 (-25.8) 141.5 (+1.5) 77% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 FUR 76 – 67 WOF
Jan 17, 2026 WOF 74 – 70 FUR
Mar 10, 2025 WOF 92 – 85 FUR
Mar 1, 2025 FUR 78 – 75 WOF
Feb 24, 2024 FUR 82 – 67 WOF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FUR WOF
Overall 25-10 19-16
Conference 11-7 10-8
Home 13-3 7-6
Away 9-6 8-8
Neutral 3-1 4-2
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 74.2 73.1
Avg Pts Against 71.1 70.8
Massey 3.6 (#107) -0.2 (#164)
Bradley-Terry 2.16 (#47) -0.02 (#172)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.95 (#64) 0.18 (#158)
RPI 0.582 (#49) 0.519 (#141)
Shooting & Four Factors FUR WOF
FG% 43.8% 44.5%
3PT% 33.2% 33.2%
REB / G 34.5 36.0
OREB / G 9.6 12.2
AST / TO 1.29 1.31
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.3% 52.1%
TOV% 17.9% 18.0%
ORB% 28.9% 34.9%
FT Rate 22.7% 15.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.8% 53.4%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 14.7%
DRB% 69.7% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 20.7% 26.9%

Game Analysis

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