Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | FUR -400 WOF +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +15 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -7.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -7.2 (+7.8) | 150.1 (-1.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -5.0 (+10.0) | 147.4 (+1.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -4.8 (+10.2) | 148.3 (+0.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -5.6 (+9.4) | 150.5 (-1.5) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | FUR 76 – 67 WOF |
| Jan 17, 2026 | WOF 74 – 70 FUR |
| Mar 10, 2025 | WOF 92 – 85 FUR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FUR 78 – 75 WOF |
| Jan 14, 2025 | WOF 81 – 62 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#140) | -2.2 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#147) | 0.13 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#151) | -0.13 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#152) | 0.511 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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