Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | WOF -175 FUR +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -3.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -2.0 (-5.0) | 140.5 (+12.5) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -2.1 (-5.1) | 143.4 (+9.6) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -1.5 (-4.5) | 141.5 (+11.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -2.1 (-5.1) | 143.0 (+10.0) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | FUR 76 – 67 WOF |
| Jan 17, 2026 | WOF 74 – 70 FUR |
| Mar 10, 2025 | WOF 92 – 85 FUR |
| Jan 14, 2025 | WOF 81 – 62 FUR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FUR 82 – 67 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#141) | 0.9 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#175) | 0.70 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#160) | 0.44 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#121) | 0.550 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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