Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | WOF -102 FUR -118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +9 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -0.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -0.9 (-9.9) | 147.3 (-4.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -1.2 (-10.2) | 144.9 (-1.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -0.5 (-9.5) | 147.1 (-4.1) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -1.0 (-10.0) | 148.3 (-5.3) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | WOF 74 – 70 FUR |
| Mar 10, 2025 | WOF 92 – 85 FUR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FUR 78 – 75 WOF |
| Jan 14, 2025 | WOF 81 – 62 FUR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FUR 82 – 67 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#237) | -1.8 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#195) | -0.38 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#222) | -0.47 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#184) | 0.505 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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